Bitcoin’s key momentum metric hints at bullish divergence as BTC clings to $33K

Crypto traders who are flat or long the asset will prepare to position long or add to their long position since positive divergence signals a rally may soon begin. As you can see in the EUR/USD chart below, there’s a disagreement between the price of the asset and the MACD indicator. Then, when the MACD crossover happens, the bullish divergence pattern is completed and the price changes direction rapidly. Most stop-loss orders placed using other forms of technical analysis. For instance, short-term traders may use a set percentage stop-loss whereas swing or position traders may look at longer-term trend lines or Fibonacci levels. To sum up, divergence is a market condition when the price and indicator move in different directions.

Inmy own trading strategy, divergences are a big part for one of my setups and in combination with other signals. I do not recommend trading divergences by themselves but they are a good starting point. Hidden divergence will appear in both bullish and bearish directions. The examples above using Bitcoin are great illustrations of bullish hidden divergence. In the image above, Bitcoin continues to create new all-time highs in price. However, theRelative Strength Index indicator is creating a series of lower highs.

You may also check for hidden divergence if you notice a higher low or lower high in the price chart. When the RSI makes similar highs during an uptrend it means that the momentum of the trend is unchanged. When the RSI makes an equal high, it does not qualify as a divergence because it just means that the strength of the uptrend is still up and stable. Divergences work on all indicators, but my favorite by far is the RSI . The RSI compares the average gain and the average loss over a certain period. So for example, if your RSI is set to 14, it compares the bullish candles and the bearish candles over the past 14 candles.

All you need to do is apply an indicator and check whether the price and the indicator are moving in different directions. If you lack experience, consider opening a Libertex demo account. You can try live trading without any risk and gain enough experience in a safe environment. Try our divergence strategies on any trading instrument, including CFDs. As soon as you gain the necessary skills, it’ll be time to open a real account.

Bearish hidden divergence, on the other hand, is the opposite. Meaning the value of an asset makes a lower high, but oscillators are showing a higher high. This signals a trend reversal in which a trader should stop loss and sell-off as soon as possible. As we mentioned earlier, there are some reliable indicators that you can use to identify a bullish divergence pattern.

Bearish divergence:

Conversely, an RSI reading near 100 reflects a period of strong momentum. Moving Average Convergence Divergence is a trend-following indicator that charts the relationship between two moving averages of a currency pair’s price. It contains two lines and a histogram, all centered around zero. When looking for divergences, focus on the peaks of the histogram, as it averages the multiple averages plotted by the two lines.

You’ll have the choice of trading 80+ global FX pairs with competitive spreads. When they rise above 80 and outside of the shaded range, the market is indicated as overbought. When the Stochastic lines dip below 20 and underneath the shaded range, the market is indicated to be oversold. Get free access to our live streams and our market analysts will show you exactly how to read the charts. Join our trading room and you’ll have access to hundreds of video lessons suitable for new and experienced traders. We would highlight such indicators as the MACD, RSI and Stochastic Oscillator.

Bullish and Bearish Divergence: How to Catch a Signal

After a feeble recovery from a May 2021 correction, Ethereum carves a hidden bearish divergence pattern. Ethereum displays a lower high on price, while the MACD indicator shows a higher high. This signals master data management single source of truth that a continuation of the downtrend may begin soon. When positive divergence is spotted on trading charts, crypto traders who are currently short the asset will plan to exit and close their positions.

From beginners to experts, all traders need to know a wide range of technical terms. Market momentum is a measure of overall market sentiment that can support buying and selling with and against market trends. Regular divergence is especially useful to cautiously predict the end of a trend, while hidden divergence can be used as an indication of trend continuation. Downside sentiment in the Bitcoin market persisted due to a flurry of pessimistic events. That included a global crypto crackdown that started with a ban in China in May and spread to the UK, India, South Africa, and the United States.

First, it is an opportunity for long traders to be proactive about their risk control. That may mean using tighter stops, protective options or just reviewing your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. The disagreement or divergence between bearish price action and the trend of the oscillator is one way to answer that question. When this happens it indicates that investor sentiment is too extreme and a reversal to the upside is likely. For more speculative traders looking to get long the QQQQ or buy calls, this “bullish divergence” is an alert that a change in the trend may be emerging. In the video I will cover another great example of a bullish divergence like the one on the QQQQ but on an individual stock.

However, the RSI technical indicator I have applied is showing a series of higher lows, which is indicative of an improving trend. When an indicator “fights” with the actual price action traders can profit. We introduce people to the world of trading currencies, both fiat and crypto, through our non-drowsy educational content and tools.

Bullish Divergence in Silver

At the same time, it forms highs and lows and can be used for the divergence concept. Hidden bearish divergence is when the price forms lower highs, but the indicator creates higher highs. The lack of higher highs on the price chart is an indication that bulls are not in force anymore. Not all technical indicators have a standardized extreme range like RSI does. The extreme ranges on RSI make it a convenient indicator for this kind of analysis but finding these same signals with your favorite oscillator is just as simple.

A divergence happens when the price of an asset moves in the… Divergent oscillators are powerful leading indicators that guide the trader on not only the market’s future direction but also its speed. When combined with demonstrable divergences, momentum and RoC can precisely ascertain near the moment a market shifts direction. Sometimes, when using two or more different indicators, the indicator signals may differ from one another and imply different market conditions. In such cases, it’s best to take a step back and examine whether the conflicting signals are obvious and strong. If they are, it’s a good idea to stay away from the asset for the time being.

However, like any other technical concept, it has features that should be noticed before using it. In our tutorial, we’ll uncover all the secrets of using divergence effectively and applying profitable strategies. Libertex MetaTrader 5 trading platform The latest version of MetaTrader. Each type of divergence will contain either a bullish bias or a bearish bias. The RSI can in addition, be used to spot a bearish pattern of divergence. The snapshot below illustrates how to spot a divergence using the RSI.

The Bullish Divergence Candlestick Pattern – Pros and Cons

The price forms a bullish divergence with any indicator we mentioned above. As you can see, there’s a bearish divergence between the price chart and the RSI oscillator. With bearish divergence, we look at the price chart’s highs. In analytics, there’s a chance you’ll come across the term divergence. Divergence is one of the well-known market conditions that provide reliable signals on the upcoming market direction.

This lets you focus on many different opportunities at the same time to maximize what you see and minimize the need to look at the same chart for hours on end. Class B divergences occur when prices experience a double bottom and an oscillator reaches a higher low than it reached during its previous decline. It’s true that the RSI or MACD can alert you to overbought or oversold conditions, but the real insights come when comparing their trend to the overall price trend. These comparisons can uncover subtle changes in momentum, known as divergences, that often precede a larger trend change. During bearish divergence, the price forms higher highs, but the indicators create lower highs.

Divergence occurs frequently in the Wilder relative strength index. You can trade divergences in more than 80 currency pairs with FOREX.com. One of the best way to enter a divergence is when rsi breaks level 50.

Still, you can apply other indicators but be sure you do that in a demo account, not a real one. The oscillator consists of two lines that form tops and bottoms, and divergence is based on them. All you need to do is check whether the oscillator formed a high or low that doesn’t correlate with the price’s high/low. Investors like divergence because it can be used both as a signal confirmation and a stand-alone signal.

I would like to see some other variables pointing at this… The https://forexbroker-listing.com/ RSI setup shows two troughs in the RSI indicator window forming higher lows while the price shows lower lows. The RSI, therefore, leads the price action and is pointing in the new direction. The price follows directly after to correct the divergence in the direction of the indicator’s signal. Divergence simply means to deviate from, or to do something distinctive from what another entity is doing. This definition should provide a clue as to what a divergence setup is.

Technical analysis is the analysis of financial markets from the point of view of past data. In other words, technical analysis aims to prescribe in which direction the price of a given asset is more likely to move given the way this asset trades now and has traded in the past. In the chart above, MACD lines correspond to RSI and Stochastic, showing hidden divergence.

Risk Disclaimer

We have no knowledge of the level of money you are trading with or the level of risk you are taking with each trade. TrendSpider makes it easy to set up alerts for bullish divergences across many different charts. When the alert criteria are met, you will receive a real-time email or SMS alert.

The Effect of Momentum and Rate of Change

However, indicators often follow the price when others show divergence, providing contradictory information. In these cases, traders may use other methods of market analysis to assess further price movements. Learn the difference between bullish and bearish divergences and how to recognize both when using technical indicators in forex trading. RSI divergence occurs when a coin makes a new high or low in price but the RSI does not make a corresponding new high or low value. A bearish divergence forms when a coin price records a higher high and RSI forms a lower high. RSI does not confirm the new high and this shows weakening momentum.

As shown in the figure below, the highs on the price chart must vertically line up with the highs on the indicator. Pretty much everything… I mean they wrote about some technical indicators telling a different story than the price chart. As you can see, Stochastic also experiences hidden divergence with the price at that moment, forming lower lows and indicating a potential continuation of the upward movement. Medium bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a double bottom, but the oscillator creates a higher low.

Additionally, it is essential to apply the concept of divergence with other factors, such as support and resistance levels or moving averages. Technical analysis in bitcoin and crypto is often a game of confluence. Using several methods together, however, can often be more effective. If a bearish divergence occurs when the RSI is in the upper extreme range bullish investors start looking to cover their positions a little more closely. Similarly, if the bullish divergence occurs with the RSI below 30 then bearish investors or short investors will start controlling their risk and market exposure more closely.